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Toulouse vs Auxerre Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 53% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 22, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD
vs
Model Probability
53%
Draw 25%
22%
Ligue 1
Auxerre
3-1-6Rating 1698
Form: LLDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.4%8.0%
If Win <1%<1%<1%24.3%4.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.2%7.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%31.8%9.3%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.9%2.9%5.7%<1%
If Win <1%4.0%4.1%4.0%<1%
If Draw <1%2.8%2.7%6.2%<1%
If Lose <1%1.7%1.8%9.8%1.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatAuxerre
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.3
1.4Avg goals conceded2.4
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 10% / 60%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatAuxerre
4All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Toulouse 0–0 Auxerre