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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lille vs Monaco Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 41% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
Model Probability
41%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.6%58.5%11.9%<1%<1%
If Win 20.3%66.8%11.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.9%59.0%12.1%<1%<1%
If Lose 13.3%52.4%12.9%<1%<1%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 5.3%28.8%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 5.8%35.8%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.8%25.9%13.8%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.7%22.9%12.5%1.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatMonaco
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.6
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatMonaco
10All-time wins (28 meetings, 8 draws)10
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-05-10): Monaco 0–1 Lille