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Strasbourg vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 38% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Strasbourg
3-1-6Rating 1764
Form: LWLLL
vs
Model Probability
38%
Draw 28%
34%
Ligue 1
Lille
6-3-1Rating 1808
Form: WWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%43.9%13.2%<1%<1%
If Win 1.7%53.5%12.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%44.7%13.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.9%13.6%<1%<1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.0%2.7%6.7%<1%
If Win <1%3.8%3.6%4.8%<1%
If Draw <1%2.2%2.1%7.3%1.1%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.1%9.7%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatLille
10Games played10
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
2.2Avg goals conceded0.7
30% / 10% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 30% / 10%
50% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatLille
5All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.2Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-25): Lille 1–4 Strasbourg