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Ligue 1
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Auxerre vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 44% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1714
Form: WWLLL
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
29%
44%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.3%36.6%14.5%<1%<1%
If Win 9.9%44.1%14.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.4%35.9%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 4.9%30.1%13.2%<1%<1%

Auxerre

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.9%1.6%21.4%8.7%
If Win <1%1.5%2.2%16.6%5.3%
If Draw <1%1.4%1.1%18.7%9.6%
If Lose <1%1.1%<1%22.1%11.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AuxerreStatLyon
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored2.0
2.4Avg goals conceded0.4
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AuxerreStatLyon
2All-time wins (12 meetings, 3 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-04): Lyon 3–1 Auxerre