← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Lyon vs PSG

Lyon vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 60% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sun, May 9, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL
vs
Model Probability
17%
Draw 23%
60%
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.9%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 96.8%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.6%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 94.8%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%24.2%12.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.0%33.2%14.0%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%25.1%12.1%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%23.0%10.9%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatPSG
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored2.2
0.9Avg goals conceded1.0
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 20% / 10%
80% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatPSG
8All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws)21
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
1.1Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-10-26): PSG 2–0 Lyon