Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-31 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-28 | 2–3 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 48% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 2–1 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 57% | |
| 2025-04-12 | 2–2 | Draw | Bayern Munich 62% | |
| 2024-11-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayern Munich 40% | |
| 2024-03-30 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Bayern Munich 52% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 0–4 | Bayern Munich +4 | Bayern Munich 38% | |
| 2023-04-01 | 4–2 | Bayern Munich +2 | Bayern Munich 65% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Bayern Munich 47% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 3–1 | Bayern Munich +2 | Bayern Munich 69% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 2–3 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 51% | |
| 2021-03-06 | 4–2 | Bayern Munich +2 | Bayern Munich 70% | |
| 2020-11-07 | 2–3 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 53% | |
| 2020-05-26 | 0–1 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 43% | |
| 2019-11-09 | 4–0 | Bayern Munich +4 | Bayern Munich 54% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 5–0 | Bayern Munich +5 | Bayern Munich 57% | |
| 2018-11-10 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Bayern Munich 38% | |
| 2018-03-31 | 6–0 | Bayern Munich +6 | Bayern Munich 71% | |
| 2017-11-04 | 1–3 | Bayern Munich +2 | Bayern Munich 44% | |
| 2017-04-08 | 4–1 | Bayern Munich +3 | Bayern Munich 61% | |
| 2016-11-19 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Bayern Munich 39% | |
| 2016-03-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Bayern Munich 43% | |
| 2015-10-04 | 5–1 | Bayern Munich +4 | Bayern Munich 63% | |
| 2015-04-04 | 0–1 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 55% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 2–1 | Bayern Munich +1 | Bayern Munich 65% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 0–3 | Dortmund +3 | Bayern Munich 69% | |
| 2013-11-23 | 0–3 | Bayern Munich +3 | Bayern Munich 45% | |
| 2013-05-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayern Munich 43% | |
| 2012-12-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayern Munich 50% | |
| 2012-04-11 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2011-11-19 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Bayern Munich 58% | |
| 2011-02-26 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Bayern Munich 50% | |
| 2010-10-03 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2010-02-13 | 3–1 | Bayern Munich +2 | Bayern Munich 51% |