Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2026-03-21 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 75% | |
| 2025-11-08 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2018-02-10 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2017-09-20 | 0–3 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2017-04-04 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 73% | |
| 2016-11-05 | 2–5 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2016-04-17 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 77% | |
| 2015-11-20 | 3–1 | Hamburger SV +2 | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2015-03-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2014-10-04 | 0–1 | Hamburger SV +1 | Dortmund 79% | |
| 2014-02-22 | 3–0 | Hamburger SV +3 | Dortmund 65% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 6–2 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 74% | |
| 2013-02-09 | 1–4 | Hamburger SV +3 | Dortmund 78% | |
| 2012-09-22 | 3–2 | Hamburger SV +1 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2012-01-22 | 1–5 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2011-08-05 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2011-04-09 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2010-11-12 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2010-01-23 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 44% |