Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-13 | 4–0 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 68% | |
| 2025-09-27 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2025-03-30 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 49% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 3–1 | Mainz +2 | Dortmund 49% | |
| 2024-05-11 | 3–0 | Mainz +3 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2023-12-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 72% | |
| 2023-05-27 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 68% | |
| 2023-01-25 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2022-03-16 | 0–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2021-10-16 | 3–1 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2021-05-16 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2021-01-16 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 76% | |
| 2020-06-17 | 0–2 | Mainz +2 | Dortmund 77% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 0–4 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2019-04-13 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 70% | |
| 2018-11-24 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2018-05-05 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2017-12-12 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 47% | |
| 2017-01-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2016-08-27 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2016-03-13 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 68% | |
| 2015-10-16 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2015-02-13 | 4–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 62% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | Dortmund 55% | |
| 2014-04-19 | 4–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 71% | |
| 2013-11-30 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2013-04-20 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 73% | |
| 2012-11-24 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2012-03-03 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2011-09-24 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2011-03-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2010-10-31 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Mainz 44% | |
| 2010-04-10 | 1–0 | Mainz +1 | Dortmund 37% |