Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2023-03-11 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 64% | |
| 2022-09-17 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 70% | |
| 2021-02-20 | 0–4 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2020-10-24 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 72% | |
| 2020-05-16 | 4–0 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2019-10-26 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 45% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 2–4 | Schalke +2 | Dortmund 72% | |
| 2018-12-08 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 44% | |
| 2018-04-15 | 2–0 | Schalke +2 | Schalke 41% | |
| 2017-11-25 | 4–4 | Draw | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2017-04-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 46% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2016-04-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2015-11-08 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 62% | |
| 2015-02-28 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2014-09-27 | 2–1 | Schalke +1 | Dortmund 42% | |
| 2014-03-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 56% | |
| 2013-10-26 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 48% | |
| 2013-03-09 | 2–1 | Schalke +1 | Dortmund 48% | |
| 2012-10-20 | 1–2 | Schalke +1 | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2012-04-14 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 54% | |
| 2011-02-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2010-09-19 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Schalke 37% | |
| 2010-02-26 | 2–1 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 47% |