Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-24 | 0–3 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 54% | |
| 2025-08-31 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2025-02-22 | 6–0 | Dortmund +6 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2024-10-05 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2024-03-02 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2023-10-07 | 4–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 57% | |
| 2022-10-16 | 2–0 | Union Berlin +2 | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2022-02-13 | 0–3 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 39% | |
| 2021-09-19 | 4–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 64% | |
| 2021-04-21 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2020-12-18 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Dortmund 43% | |
| 2020-02-01 | 5–0 | Dortmund +5 | Dortmund 69% | |
| 2019-08-31 | 3–1 | Union Berlin +2 | Dortmund 53% |