Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-30 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-06 | 0–5 | Mainz +5 | Hamburger SV 37% | |
| 2026-02-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 51% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 4–0 | Hamburger SV +4 | Mainz 45% | |
| 2018-03-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Hamburger SV 39% | |
| 2017-10-14 | 3–2 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 48% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 0–0 | Draw | Hamburger SV 43% | |
| 2016-12-17 | 3–1 | Mainz +2 | Mainz 50% | |
| 2016-04-30 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 53% | |
| 2015-12-05 | 1–3 | Mainz +2 | Hamburger SV 41% | |
| 2015-05-03 | 1–2 | Hamburger SV +1 | Mainz 59% | |
| 2014-12-07 | 2–1 | Hamburger SV +1 | Mainz 39% | |
| 2014-05-10 | 3–2 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 58% | |
| 2013-12-21 | 2–3 | Mainz +1 | Hamburger SV 46% | |
| 2013-04-13 | 1–2 | Hamburger SV +1 | Mainz 52% | |
| 2012-11-17 | 1–0 | Hamburger SV +1 | Hamburger SV 37% | |
| 2012-04-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Hamburger SV 38% | |
| 2011-12-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 43% | |
| 2011-03-06 | 2–4 | Mainz +2 | Hamburger SV 45% | |
| 2010-10-16 | 0–1 | Hamburger SV +1 | Mainz 50% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 0–1 | Mainz +1 | Hamburger SV 48% |