Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-19 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-31 | 3–1 | Hoffenheim +2 | Hoffenheim 59% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 2–4 | Hoffenheim +2 | Union Berlin 45% | |
| 2025-02-08 | 0–4 | Union Berlin +4 | Hoffenheim 49% | |
| 2024-09-21 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 43% | |
| 2024-02-17 | 0–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Hoffenheim 45% | |
| 2023-09-23 | 0–2 | Hoffenheim +2 | Union Berlin 50% | |
| 2023-05-20 | 4–2 | Hoffenheim +2 | Union Berlin 42% | |
| 2023-01-21 | 3–1 | Union Berlin +2 | Union Berlin 50% | |
| 2022-01-15 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 41% | |
| 2021-08-22 | 2–2 | Draw | Hoffenheim 46% | |
| 2021-02-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Union Berlin 46% | |
| 2020-11-02 | 1–3 | Union Berlin +2 | Hoffenheim 54% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 4–0 | Hoffenheim +4 | Hoffenheim 52% | |
| 2019-12-17 | 0–2 | Hoffenheim +2 | Union Berlin 43% |