Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 50% | |
| 2020-02-29 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | Mainz 51% | |
| 2019-10-05 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | Paderborn 41% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 5–0 | Mainz +5 | Mainz 47% | |
| 2014-08-24 | 2–2 | Draw | Paderborn 40% |