Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-13 | 5–0 | RB Leipzig +5 | RB Leipzig 62% | |
| 2026-03-01 | 1–2 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 47% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 2–1 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 65% | |
| 2018-01-27 | 1–1 | Draw | RB Leipzig 61% | |
| 2017-09-08 | 0–2 | RB Leipzig +2 | Hamburger SV 38% | |
| 2017-02-11 | 0–3 | Hamburger SV +3 | RB Leipzig 62% | |
| 2016-09-17 | 0–4 | RB Leipzig +4 | Hamburger SV 44% |