Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-10 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-05 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-01-31 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | RB Leipzig 60% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 0–1 | RB Leipzig +1 | Mainz 41% | |
| 2025-03-01 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | RB Leipzig 49% | |
| 2024-10-19 | 0–2 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 47% | |
| 2024-03-30 | 0–0 | Draw | RB Leipzig 74% | |
| 2023-11-04 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | RB Leipzig 60% | |
| 2023-04-01 | 0–3 | Mainz +3 | RB Leipzig 62% | |
| 2022-10-08 | 1–1 | Draw | RB Leipzig 39% | |
| 2022-01-08 | 4–1 | RB Leipzig +3 | RB Leipzig 56% | |
| 2021-08-15 | 1–0 | Mainz +1 | RB Leipzig 47% | |
| 2021-01-23 | 3–2 | Mainz +1 | RB Leipzig 64% | |
| 2020-09-20 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 66% | |
| 2020-05-24 | 0–5 | RB Leipzig +5 | RB Leipzig 58% | |
| 2019-11-02 | 8–0 | RB Leipzig +8 | RB Leipzig 67% | |
| 2019-05-03 | 3–3 | Draw | RB Leipzig 51% | |
| 2018-12-16 | 4–1 | RB Leipzig +3 | RB Leipzig 53% | |
| 2018-04-29 | 3–0 | Mainz +3 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2017-12-09 | 2–2 | Draw | RB Leipzig 58% | |
| 2017-04-05 | 2–3 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2016-11-06 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 50% |