Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-24 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 70% | |
| 2025-12-12 | 3–1 | Union Berlin +2 | RB Leipzig 50% | |
| 2025-02-01 | 0–0 | Draw | RB Leipzig 51% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 0–0 | Draw | RB Leipzig 69% | |
| 2024-02-04 | 2–0 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 67% | |
| 2023-09-03 | 0–3 | RB Leipzig +3 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2023-02-11 | 1–2 | Union Berlin +1 | RB Leipzig 56% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | RB Leipzig 39% | |
| 2022-04-23 | 1–2 | Union Berlin +1 | RB Leipzig 65% | |
| 2021-12-03 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | RB Leipzig 37% | |
| 2021-05-22 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | RB Leipzig 45% | |
| 2021-01-20 | 1–0 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 62% | |
| 2020-01-18 | 3–1 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 70% | |
| 2019-08-18 | 0–4 | RB Leipzig +4 | RB Leipzig 44% |