Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-27 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2023-05-05 | 2–3 | Schalke +1 | Mainz 65% | |
| 2022-11-09 | 1–0 | Schalke +1 | Mainz 47% | |
| 2021-03-05 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 36% | |
| 2020-11-07 | 2–2 | Draw | Mainz 45% | |
| 2020-02-16 | 0–0 | Draw | Schalke 36% | |
| 2019-09-20 | 2–1 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 51% | |
| 2019-02-23 | 3–0 | Mainz +3 | Schalke 38% | |
| 2018-09-29 | 1–0 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 52% | |
| 2018-03-09 | 0–1 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 46% | |
| 2017-10-20 | 2–0 | Schalke +2 | Schalke 54% | |
| 2017-03-19 | 0–1 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 38% | |
| 2016-10-23 | 3–0 | Schalke +3 | Schalke 45% | |
| 2016-02-12 | 2–1 | Mainz +1 | Mainz 39% | |
| 2015-09-13 | 2–1 | Schalke +1 | Schalke 48% | |
| 2015-04-24 | 2–0 | Mainz +2 | Schalke 36% | |
| 2014-11-29 | 4–1 | Schalke +3 | Schalke 50% | |
| 2014-02-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Schalke 57% | |
| 2013-09-14 | 0–1 | Schalke +1 | Mainz 40% | |
| 2013-02-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Mainz 42% | |
| 2012-09-25 | 3–0 | Schalke +3 | Schalke 58% | |
| 2012-02-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Schalke 63% | |
| 2011-08-21 | 2–4 | Schalke +2 | Mainz 43% | |
| 2011-05-07 | 1–3 | Mainz +2 | Schalke 48% | |
| 2010-12-12 | 0–1 | Schalke +1 | Mainz 46% | |
| 2010-05-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 37% |