Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-28 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-10 | 1–3 | Union Berlin +2 | Mainz 58% | |
| 2026-01-10 | 2–2 | Draw | Union Berlin 45% | |
| 2025-01-19 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Mainz 44% | |
| 2024-08-24 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 50% | |
| 2024-02-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 41% | |
| 2023-08-20 | 4–1 | Union Berlin +3 | Union Berlin 48% | |
| 2023-02-04 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 54% | |
| 2022-08-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Mainz 43% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 3–1 | Union Berlin +2 | Union Berlin 46% | |
| 2021-10-03 | 1–2 | Union Berlin +1 | Mainz 41% | |
| 2021-02-06 | 1–0 | Mainz +1 | Union Berlin 44% | |
| 2020-10-02 | 4–0 | Union Berlin +4 | Union Berlin 48% | |
| 2020-05-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Union Berlin 45% | |
| 2019-11-09 | 2–3 | Union Berlin +1 | Mainz 40% |