Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-08 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-08 | 1–4 | Werder Bremen +3 | Union Berlin 45% | |
| 2025-10-24 | 1–0 | Werder Bremen +1 | Werder Bremen 49% | |
| 2025-05-03 | 2–2 | Draw | Union Berlin 39% | |
| 2024-12-21 | 4–1 | Werder Bremen +3 | Werder Bremen 53% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 2–1 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 45% | |
| 2023-10-28 | 2–0 | Werder Bremen +2 | Union Berlin 36% | |
| 2023-05-27 | 1–0 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 59% | |
| 2023-01-25 | 1–2 | Union Berlin +1 | Union Berlin 42% | |
| 2021-04-24 | 3–1 | Union Berlin +2 | Union Berlin 53% | |
| 2021-01-02 | 0–2 | Union Berlin +2 | Werder Bremen 38% | |
| 2020-02-08 | 0–2 | Union Berlin +2 | Werder Bremen 44% | |
| 2019-09-14 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Union Berlin 36% |