Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-09 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-16 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2026-01-13 | 3–0 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 70% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 58% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 0–0 | Draw | Dortmund 49% | |
| 2024-03-09 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 54% | |
| 2023-10-20 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 74% | |
| 2023-02-11 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2022-08-20 | 2–3 | Werder Bremen +1 | Dortmund 70% | |
| 2021-04-18 | 4–1 | Dortmund +3 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2020-12-15 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 51% | |
| 2020-02-22 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 58% | |
| 2019-09-28 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2019-05-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Dortmund 41% | |
| 2018-12-15 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2018-04-29 | 1–1 | Draw | Dortmund 41% | |
| 2017-12-09 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Dortmund 61% | |
| 2017-05-20 | 4–3 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 66% | |
| 2017-01-21 | 1–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2016-04-02 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 76% | |
| 2015-10-31 | 1–3 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2015-05-23 | 3–2 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 64% | |
| 2014-12-20 | 2–1 | Werder Bremen +1 | Dortmund 53% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 1–5 | Dortmund +4 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2013-08-23 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 75% | |
| 2013-01-19 | 0–5 | Dortmund +5 | Dortmund 60% | |
| 2012-08-24 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 71% | |
| 2012-03-17 | 1–0 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 63% | |
| 2011-10-14 | 0–2 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 37% | |
| 2011-05-07 | 2–0 | Werder Bremen +2 | Dortmund 48% | |
| 2010-12-11 | 2–0 | Dortmund +2 | Dortmund 59% | |
| 2010-04-03 | 2–1 | Dortmund +1 | Dortmund 43% |