Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-02 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-10-24 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-03-15 | 0–2 | Mainz +2 | Werder Bremen 42% | |
| 2025-11-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 42% | |
| 2025-01-31 | 1–0 | Werder Bremen +1 | Werder Bremen 38% | |
| 2024-09-15 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 45% | |
| 2024-02-03 | 0–1 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 41% | |
| 2023-09-02 | 4–0 | Werder Bremen +4 | Mainz 38% | |
| 2023-04-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Mainz 59% | |
| 2022-10-15 | 0–2 | Mainz +2 | Werder Bremen 41% | |
| 2021-04-21 | 0–1 | Mainz +1 | Werder Bremen 47% | |
| 2020-12-19 | 0–1 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 41% | |
| 2020-06-20 | 3–1 | Mainz +2 | Mainz 47% | |
| 2019-12-17 | 0–5 | Mainz +5 | Werder Bremen 53% | |
| 2019-03-30 | 3–1 | Werder Bremen +2 | Werder Bremen 58% | |
| 2018-11-04 | 2–1 | Mainz +1 | Werder Bremen 37% | |
| 2018-05-12 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 37% | |
| 2017-12-16 | 2–2 | Draw | Werder Bremen 51% | |
| 2017-02-18 | 0–2 | Werder Bremen +2 | Mainz 50% | |
| 2016-09-21 | 1–2 | Mainz +1 | Werder Bremen 36% | |
| 2016-03-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Werder Bremen 38% | |
| 2015-10-24 | 1–3 | Werder Bremen +2 | Mainz 53% | |
| 2015-04-04 | 0–0 | Draw | Werder Bremen 39% | |
| 2014-11-01 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 57% | |
| 2014-04-12 | 3–0 | Mainz +3 | Mainz 55% | |
| 2013-11-24 | 2–3 | Mainz +1 | Werder Bremen 40% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 52% | |
| 2012-11-04 | 2–1 | Werder Bremen +1 | Werder Bremen 40% | |
| 2012-03-31 | 0–3 | Mainz +3 | Werder Bremen 52% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 1–3 | Werder Bremen +2 | Mainz 36% | |
| 2011-02-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Mainz 51% | |
| 2010-09-18 | 0–2 | Mainz +2 | Werder Bremen 51% | |
| 2010-02-27 | 1–2 | Werder Bremen +1 | Mainz 42% |