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Mainz vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 44% chance to win.
Final Score: Mainz 0–2 Dortmund
Sat, Sep 27, 2025 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
1-1-2Rating 1730
Form: WLDLD
0 – 2
Model Probability
29%
Draw 27%
44%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
3-1-0Rating 1918
Form: WWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatDortmund
4Games played4
1.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatDortmund
6All-time wins (31 meetings, 5 draws)20
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2025-03-30): Dortmund 3–1 Mainz