SHARPMODELS
NFL NBA MLB NHL EPL
Championship League One League Two
La Liga Bundesliga Serie A Ligue 1
UEFA Nations League
Global Soccer Rankings All Countries →
Articles
Matchups Teams Power Ratings Season Outlook Simulator Strength of Schedule Standings Results Schedule Head-to-Head Archive
← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 50% chance to win.
Final Score: Union Berlin 3–1 RB Leipzig
Fri, Dec 12, 2025 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
4-3-6Rating 1685
Form: LLWDD
‹ Prev Next ›
3 – 1
Model Probability
24%
Draw 26%
50%
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
9-2-2Rating 1838
Form: WDWLW
‹ Prev Next ›

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatRB Leipzig
13Games played13
1.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.7Avg goals conceded1.0
31% / 23% / 46%Win / Draw / Loss69% / 15% / 15%
29% Home win % / Away win % 43%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Union BerlinStatRB Leipzig
5All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-02-01): Union Berlin 0–0 RB Leipzig

Recent Results

Union Berlin

@ Wolfsburg
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Heidenheim
Sat, Nov 29, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ St. Pauli
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Bayern Munich
Sat, Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 4
2–2
vs Freiburg
Sat, Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0

RB Leipzig

vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Dec 6, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6–0
@ B. Monchengladbach
Fri, Nov 28, 2025 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
vs Werder Bremen
Sun, Nov 23, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0
@ Hoffenheim
Sat, Nov 8, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
vs Stuttgart
Sat, Nov 1, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3–1