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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 54% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
Model Probability
54%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.6%15.4%
If Win <1%1.6%2.4%19.4%8.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%25.7%12.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.1%18.8%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.2%4.4%10.3%3.1%
If Win <1%6.9%4.9%8.4%1.0%
If Draw <1%4.0%3.3%12.3%3.4%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.9%16.0%6.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatHamburger SV
4Games played4
1.8Avg goals scored0.5
2.5Avg goals conceded3.2
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatHamburger SV
9All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Hamburger SV 1–2 Hoffenheim