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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 12, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Werder Bremen vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 48% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
26%
48%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.1%56.5%11.9%<1%<1%
If Win 3.0%64.1%11.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.6%54.1%14.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.2%46.5%13.9%<1%<1%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.0%4.6%8.8%2.3%
If Win <1%9.2%5.7%6.0%<1%
If Draw <1%4.6%4.1%9.5%2.9%
If Lose <1%2.8%3.3%12.1%3.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
2.0Avg goals scored2.5
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatBayer Leverkusen
6All-time wins (31 meetings, 13 draws)12
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Bayer Leverkusen 1–0 Werder Bremen