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Bundesliga
Sat, Feb 20, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 58% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.7%7.2%3.6%<1%
If Win <1%21.3%10.9%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%12.8%9.7%3.0%<1%
If Lose <1%10.4%7.8%4.8%1.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.5%58.0%12.7%<1%<1%
If Win 3.0%62.8%12.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.3%51.8%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.3%45.1%14.5%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.5
1.2Avg goals conceded1.5
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
19All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz