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Serie A
Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · 5:00 PM BST

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 42% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1739
Form: LWDWL
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
Model Probability
31%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 6.5%45.2%11.5%<1%
If Win 7.4%54.1%12.8%<1%
If Draw 5.3%42.4%11.7%<1%
If Lose 3.6%35.5%12.0%<1%

Sassuolo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.2%2.7%11.9%
If Win <1%6.2%4.6%6.0%
If Draw <1%3.8%2.8%10.7%
If Lose <1%1.9%2.0%14.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SassuoloStatAC Milan
5Games played5
1.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.8Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SassuoloStatAC Milan
8All-time wins (24 meetings, 5 draws)11
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-05-03): Sassuolo 2–0 AC Milan