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Serie A
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 5:00 PM BST

AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 48% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
Model Probability
48%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.2%16.5%8.1%2.5%
If Win 2.0%25.6%9.4%<1%
If Draw 1.0%15.4%8.2%2.0%
If Lose <1%10.7%6.9%3.3%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.9%43.8%11.6%<1%
If Win 8.4%54.8%10.2%<1%
If Draw 5.3%42.4%10.3%<1%
If Lose 3.1%33.5%11.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatAtalanta
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.0
0.8Avg goals conceded1.4
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 0% / 60%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatAtalanta
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 9 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-10): AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta