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Napoli vs Lecce Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 63% chance to win.
Serie A
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
Napoli
4-2-4Rating 1825
Form: LWDLW
vs
Model Probability
63%
Draw 21%
16%
Serie A
Lecce
3-0-7Rating 1693
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%34.0%
If Win <1%<1%<1%21.5%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.7%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.0%10.2%<1%
If Win <1%16.6%12.5%<1%
If Draw <1%9.2%9.1%<1%
If Lose <1%7.3%7.9%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatLecce
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored1.1
1.3Avg goals conceded2.1
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 0% / 70%
50% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatLecce
10All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
1.9Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-03-14): Napoli 2–1 Lecce