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Fiorentina vs Cagliari Prediction & Win Probability

Fiorentina has a 46% chance to win.
Serie A
Mon, Dec 7, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
Fiorentina
2-2-6Rating 1734
Form: WDLLL
vs
Model Probability
46%
Draw 27%
27%
Serie A
Cagliari
4-1-5Rating 1719
Form: LLLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Cagliari

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.2%8.6%
If Win <1%1.5%1.8%3.9%
If Draw <1%<1%1.3%6.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%11.5%

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%19.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%11.3%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%19.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FiorentinaStatCagliari
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored0.9
2.3Avg goals conceded1.5
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 10% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FiorentinaStatCagliari
13All-time wins (29 meetings, 9 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari