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Cagliari vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 43% chance to win.
Serie A
Mon, Nov 30, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
Cagliari
4-1-5Rating 1719
Form: LLLLD
vs
Model Probability
29%
Draw 27%
43%
Serie A
AC Milan
6-3-1Rating 1831
Form: WLWWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.8%34.9%16.4%<1%
If Win 3.7%42.8%16.9%<1%
If Draw 2.2%31.2%16.1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%23.7%15.4%<1%

Cagliari

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.1%9.0%
If Win <1%1.4%1.8%4.0%
If Draw <1%<1%1.4%7.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%11.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CagliariStatAC Milan
10Games played10
0.9Avg goals scored2.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 10% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 30% / 10%
25% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CagliariStatAC Milan
2All-time wins (29 meetings, 6 draws)21
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.8Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-05-24): AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari