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Serie A
Sun, Apr 11, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Napoli vs Sassuolo Prediction & Win Probability

Napoli has a 59% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1739
Form: LWDWL
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sassuolo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.9%3.1%10.4%
If Win <1%6.3%4.3%6.0%
If Draw <1%3.9%2.8%10.4%
If Lose <1%3.2%2.3%11.8%

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.9%28.7%11.3%<1%
If Win 3.0%32.5%11.5%<1%
If Draw 1.8%26.7%11.2%<1%
If Lose 1.7%22.5%10.4%1.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NapoliStatSassuolo
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
1.2Avg goals conceded1.8
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NapoliStatSassuolo
15All-time wins (24 meetings, 7 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.2Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo