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Serie A
Sun, Apr 18, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 44% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
2-1-2 · Rating 1840
Form: DWLLW
Model Probability
44%
28%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Napoli

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 2.8%30.9%10.9%<1%
If Win 4.7%37.2%11.8%<1%
If Draw 2.1%28.9%11.6%<1%
If Lose 1.9%24.7%10.4%1.0%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 6.6%45.7%9.9%<1%
If Win 7.3%50.0%12.6%<1%
If Draw 4.5%42.1%12.9%<1%
If Lose 4.4%37.1%11.2%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatNapoli
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 20% / 40%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatNapoli
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 10 draws)15
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Napoli 1–0 AC Milan