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Serie A
Sun, Apr 25, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 46% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1711
Form: LWLLW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 5.9%43.5%11.2%<1%
If Win 6.4%50.7%10.9%<1%
If Draw 5.6%41.5%12.5%<1%
If Lose 4.6%39.3%11.4%<1%

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.4%1.2%22.8%
If Win <1%1.7%2.2%17.3%
If Draw <1%1.3%1.1%22.2%
If Lose <1%1.0%<1%26.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LecceStatAC Milan
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored2.0
2.0Avg goals conceded0.8
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LecceStatAC Milan
0All-time wins (15 meetings, 4 draws)11
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.9Average goals2.5
Last meeting (2026-09-20): AC Milan 3–0 Lecce