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Serie A
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

AC Milan vs AS Roma Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 37% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDDWW
VS
4-1-0 · Rating 1894
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
37%
35%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

AS Roma

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 24.2%78.4%7.4%<1%
If Win 28.2%83.1%6.0%<1%
If Draw 23.6%75.9%7.9%<1%
If Lose 20.5%73.5%8.0%<1%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 6.3%44.9%11.5%<1%
If Win 7.2%51.1%11.8%<1%
If Draw 5.1%41.0%12.2%<1%
If Lose 3.6%40.8%12.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatAS Roma
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored2.8
0.8Avg goals conceded0.6
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss80% / 20% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatAS Roma
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 12 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-25): AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan