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Serie A
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

Lecce has a 40% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1711
Form: LWLLW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1741
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.8%1.0%19.8%
If Win <1%2.6%1.6%14.7%
If Draw <1%1.6%1.6%18.4%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.1%23.9%

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.5%1.2%22.1%
If Win <1%2.2%2.0%16.1%
If Draw <1%1.2%1.1%25.0%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%27.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LecceStatFiorentina
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.2
2.0Avg goals conceded2.4
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LecceStatFiorentina
5All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws)5
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-04-20): Lecce 1–1 Fiorentina