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Serie A
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 5:30 PM BST

Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction & Win Probability

Atalanta has a 59% chance to win.

2-0-3 · Rating 1812
Form: LLLWW
VS
2-0-3 · Rating 1711
Form: LWLLW
Model Probability
59%
18%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lecce

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%1.2%1.8%23.1%
If Win <1%1.7%1.9%16.4%
If Draw <1%1.5%1.1%22.6%
If Lose <1%1.3%<1%24.2%

Atalanta

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 1.1%15.5%7.4%2.0%
If Win 1.3%17.3%9.6%1.6%
If Draw <1%14.0%7.0%2.7%
If Lose <1%11.5%6.7%3.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AtalantaStatLecce
5Games played5
1.0Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 0% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 0% / 60%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AtalantaStatLecce
8All-time wins (12 meetings, 2 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.4Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-04-06): Lecce 0–3 Atalanta