Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-19 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2026-05-02 | 2–4 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Alaves 44% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 0–1 | Alaves +1 | Ath Bilbao 54% | |
| 2025-05-11 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 55% | |
| 2024-12-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 47% | |
| 2024-03-16 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 65% | |
| 2023-09-22 | 0–2 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 39% | |
| 2022-01-09 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 39% | |
| 2021-10-01 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 53% | |
| 2021-04-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 62% | |
| 2020-10-04 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 37% | |
| 2020-02-23 | 2–1 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 37% | |
| 2019-09-22 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2019-04-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 51% | |
| 2018-12-17 | 0–0 | Draw | Alaves 50% | |
| 2018-05-12 | 3–1 | Alaves +2 | Alaves 48% | |
| 2018-01-07 | 2–0 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2017-05-07 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 36% | |
| 2017-01-08 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 52% |