Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-01-17 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-28 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 39% | |
| 2026-03-13 | 1–1 | Draw | Villarreal 40% | |
| 2026-01-10 | 3–1 | Villarreal +2 | Villarreal 57% | |
| 2025-03-08 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Villarreal 43% | |
| 2024-11-09 | 3–0 | Villarreal +3 | Villarreal 55% | |
| 2024-02-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Alaves 40% | |
| 2023-10-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Villarreal 57% | |
| 2022-04-30 | 2–1 | Alaves +1 | Villarreal 57% | |
| 2021-12-21 | 5–2 | Villarreal +3 | Villarreal 63% | |
| 2021-04-21 | 2–1 | Alaves +1 | Villarreal 56% | |
| 2020-09-30 | 3–1 | Villarreal +2 | Villarreal 56% | |
| 2020-01-25 | 1–2 | Villarreal +1 | Alaves 38% | |
| 2019-10-25 | 4–1 | Villarreal +3 | Villarreal 50% | |
| 2019-03-02 | 1–2 | Alaves +1 | Villarreal 41% | |
| 2018-10-28 | 2–1 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 48% | |
| 2018-02-10 | 1–2 | Alaves +1 | Villarreal 53% | |
| 2017-09-17 | 0–3 | Villarreal +3 | Alaves 37% | |
| 2017-04-17 | 2–1 | Alaves +1 | Alaves 37% | |
| 2016-11-27 | 0–2 | Alaves +2 | Villarreal 54% |