Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-31 | 5–2 | Barcelona +3 | Barcelona 74% | |
| 2026-03-22 | 1–0 | Barcelona +1 | Barcelona 81% | |
| 2025-08-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Barcelona 56% | |
| 2025-02-17 | 1–0 | Barcelona +1 | Barcelona 72% | |
| 2024-08-27 | 1–2 | Barcelona +1 | Barcelona 48% | |
| 2024-05-19 | 3–0 | Barcelona +3 | Barcelona 72% | |
| 2023-11-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Barcelona 47% | |
| 2023-04-26 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Barcelona 56% | |
| 2022-08-13 | 0–0 | Draw | Barcelona 61% | |
| 2022-04-24 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Barcelona 71% | |
| 2021-10-27 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Barcelona 43% | |
| 2019-03-09 | 3–1 | Barcelona +2 | Barcelona 86% | |
| 2018-11-03 | 2–3 | Barcelona +1 | Barcelona 72% | |
| 2016-03-03 | 1–5 | Barcelona +4 | Barcelona 74% | |
| 2015-10-17 | 5–2 | Barcelona +3 | Barcelona 79% | |
| 2015-03-08 | 6–1 | Barcelona +5 | Barcelona 83% | |
| 2014-10-04 | 0–2 | Barcelona +2 | Barcelona 57% | |
| 2014-02-15 | 6–0 | Barcelona +6 | Barcelona 84% | |
| 2013-09-21 | 0–4 | Barcelona +4 | Barcelona 62% | |
| 2013-03-17 | 3–1 | Barcelona +2 | Barcelona 80% | |
| 2012-10-27 | 0–5 | Barcelona +5 | Barcelona 69% | |
| 2012-04-29 | 0–7 | Barcelona +7 | Barcelona 74% | |
| 2011-11-29 | 4–0 | Barcelona +4 | Barcelona 78% |