Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-30 | 0–2 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Celta Vigo 50% | |
| 2026-05-17 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2025-12-14 | 2–0 | Celta Vigo +2 | Celta Vigo 43% | |
| 2025-01-19 | 1–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 41% | |
| 2024-09-22 | 3–1 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 57% | |
| 2024-05-15 | 2–1 | Celta Vigo +1 | Ath Bilbao 45% | |
| 2023-11-10 | 4–3 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 59% | |
| 2023-05-20 | 2–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 52% | |
| 2023-01-29 | 1–0 | Celta Vigo +1 | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2022-04-17 | 0–2 | Celta Vigo +2 | Ath Bilbao 51% | |
| 2021-08-28 | 0–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Celta Vigo 44% | |
| 2021-03-14 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 37% | |
| 2020-12-04 | 0–2 | Celta Vigo +2 | Ath Bilbao 53% | |
| 2020-01-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 59% | |
| 2019-10-06 | 1–0 | Celta Vigo +1 | Ath Bilbao 37% | |
| 2019-05-12 | 3–1 | Ath Bilbao +2 | Ath Bilbao 49% | |
| 2019-01-07 | 1–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Celta Vigo 49% | |
| 2018-03-31 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2017-11-05 | 3–1 | Celta Vigo +2 | Celta Vigo 42% | |
| 2017-04-30 | 0–3 | Ath Bilbao +3 | Celta Vigo 37% | |
| 2016-12-19 | 2–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2016-05-01 | 2–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 50% | |
| 2015-12-30 | 0–1 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Celta Vigo 45% | |
| 2015-03-14 | 1–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Celta Vigo 42% | |
| 2014-10-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 45% | |
| 2014-02-10 | 0–0 | Draw | Ath Bilbao 37% | |
| 2013-09-16 | 3–2 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 40% | |
| 2013-05-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Celta Vigo 45% | |
| 2012-12-09 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 38% |