Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-09 | 0–1 | Celta Vigo +1 | Atl. Madrid 64% | |
| 2025-10-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 48% | |
| 2025-02-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 69% | |
| 2024-09-26 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2024-05-12 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2023-10-21 | 0–3 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2023-02-12 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 43% | |
| 2022-09-10 | 4–1 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 60% | |
| 2022-02-26 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 57% | |
| 2021-08-15 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2021-02-08 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 74% | |
| 2020-10-17 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2020-07-07 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2019-09-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2019-04-13 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 71% | |
| 2018-09-01 | 2–0 | Celta Vigo +2 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2018-03-11 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 69% | |
| 2017-10-22 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 51% | |
| 2017-02-12 | 3–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 64% | |
| 2016-09-10 | 0–4 | Atl. Madrid +4 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2016-05-14 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 68% | |
| 2016-01-10 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2015-02-15 | 2–0 | Celta Vigo +2 | Atl. Madrid 60% | |
| 2014-09-20 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 67% | |
| 2014-03-08 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2013-10-06 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 71% | |
| 2013-05-08 | 1–3 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 53% | |
| 2012-12-21 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 66% |