Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-03-14 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-20 | Scheduled | |||
| 2016-04-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Malaga 48% | |
| 2015-12-13 | 1–2 | Malaga +1 | Rayo Vallecano 46% | |
| 2015-03-21 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 38% | |
| 2014-10-26 | 4–0 | Malaga +4 | Malaga 44% | |
| 2014-02-08 | 4–1 | Rayo Vallecano +3 | Malaga 38% | |
| 2013-09-15 | 5–0 | Malaga +5 | Malaga 47% | |
| 2013-03-30 | 1–3 | Malaga +2 | Rayo Vallecano 39% | |
| 2012-11-03 | 1–2 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Malaga 59% | |
| 2012-03-22 | 4–2 | Malaga +2 | Malaga 49% | |
| 2011-10-26 | 2–0 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Rayo Vallecano 40% |