Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-14 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-16 | 4–0 | Atl. Madrid +4 | Atl. Madrid 60% | |
| 2026-05-12 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2025-10-18 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 62% | |
| 2025-05-15 | 2–0 | Osasuna +2 | Atl. Madrid 49% | |
| 2025-01-12 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2024-05-19 | 1–4 | Osasuna +3 | Atl. Madrid 70% | |
| 2023-09-28 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2023-05-21 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2023-01-29 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 38% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 0–3 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 40% | |
| 2021-11-20 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 62% | |
| 2021-05-16 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 66% | |
| 2020-10-31 | 1–3 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 43% | |
| 2020-06-17 | 0–5 | Atl. Madrid +5 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2019-12-14 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 58% | |
| 2017-04-15 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 84% | |
| 2016-11-27 | 0–3 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 63% | |
| 2014-02-23 | 3–0 | Osasuna +3 | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2013-09-24 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 70% | |
| 2013-03-17 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2012-10-28 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 67% | |
| 2012-01-30 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Osasuna 41% | |
| 2011-08-28 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 48% | |
| 2011-04-03 | 2–3 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Osasuna 44% | |
| 2010-11-13 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2010-03-15 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 47% |