Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-16 | Scheduled | |||
| 2027-01-03 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-02-15 | 3–0 | Rayo Vallecano +3 | Atl. Madrid 57% | |
| 2025-09-24 | 3–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2025-04-24 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 67% | |
| 2024-09-22 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2024-01-31 | 2–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 68% | |
| 2023-08-28 | 0–7 | Atl. Madrid +7 | Atl. Madrid 42% | |
| 2023-04-09 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 48% | |
| 2022-10-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2022-03-19 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 51% | |
| 2022-01-02 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 58% | |
| 2019-02-16 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 57% | |
| 2018-08-25 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 71% | |
| 2016-04-30 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 77% | |
| 2015-12-30 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2015-01-24 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 75% | |
| 2014-08-25 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 54% | |
| 2014-01-26 | 2–4 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 67% | |
| 2013-08-25 | 5–0 | Atl. Madrid +5 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2013-02-10 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2012-09-16 | 4–3 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2012-04-15 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 39% | |
| 2011-12-04 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 51% |