Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-05-23 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-29 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-04-21 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2025-12-14 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2025-04-13 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2024-09-24 | 3–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2024-05-14 | 5–0 | Real Madrid +5 | Real Madrid 81% | |
| 2023-12-21 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2022-02-19 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2021-08-14 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 52% | |
| 2021-01-23 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 59% | |
| 2020-11-28 | 1–2 | Alaves +1 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2020-07-10 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2019-11-30 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 45% | |
| 2019-02-03 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2018-10-06 | 1–0 | Alaves +1 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2018-02-24 | 4–0 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2017-09-23 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 65% | |
| 2017-04-02 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2016-10-29 | 1–4 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 65% |