Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-14 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-12-06 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-23 | 4–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2025-12-03 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2025-04-20 | 1–0 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2024-03-31 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2023-08-12 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 47% | |
| 2023-06-04 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2023-01-22 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 48% | |
| 2021-12-22 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 56% | |
| 2021-12-01 | 1–0 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2021-05-16 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2020-12-15 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2020-07-05 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 42% | |
| 2019-12-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 59% | |
| 2019-04-21 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2018-09-15 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2018-04-18 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 79% | |
| 2017-12-02 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 62% | |
| 2017-03-18 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2016-10-23 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2016-02-13 | 4–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2015-09-23 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 57% | |
| 2015-03-07 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2014-10-05 | 5–0 | Real Madrid +5 | Real Madrid 72% | |
| 2014-02-02 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2013-09-01 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2013-04-14 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 73% | |
| 2012-11-17 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 83% | |
| 2012-05-02 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 64% | |
| 2012-01-22 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 76% | |
| 2011-04-09 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2010-11-20 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 69% | |
| 2010-05-08 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2010-01-16 | 1–0 | Ath Bilbao +1 | Ath Bilbao 42% |