Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-07 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-26 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2026-02-14 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 54% | |
| 2025-05-24 | 2–0 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 74% | |
| 2024-09-14 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 54% | |
| 2024-04-26 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2023-09-17 | 2–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2023-05-02 | 2–0 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Madrid 51% | |
| 2023-01-29 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2022-03-05 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 68% | |
| 2021-12-04 | 0–2 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 48% | |
| 2021-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Real Madrid 61% | |
| 2020-09-20 | 0–0 | Draw | Real Madrid 44% | |
| 2020-06-21 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 42% | |
| 2019-11-23 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 55% | |
| 2019-05-12 | 3–1 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Madrid 47% | |
| 2019-01-06 | 0–2 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2018-02-10 | 5–2 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 74% | |
| 2017-09-17 | 1–3 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 52% | |
| 2017-01-29 | 3–0 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 70% | |
| 2016-08-21 | 0–3 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 58% | |
| 2016-04-30 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 67% | |
| 2015-12-30 | 3–1 | Real Madrid +2 | Real Madrid 78% | |
| 2015-01-31 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 82% | |
| 2014-08-31 | 4–2 | Real Sociedad +2 | Real Madrid 60% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 0–4 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 63% | |
| 2013-11-09 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 71% | |
| 2013-05-26 | 3–3 | Draw | Real Madrid 53% | |
| 2013-01-06 | 4–3 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 74% | |
| 2012-03-24 | 5–1 | Real Madrid +4 | Real Madrid 83% | |
| 2011-10-29 | 0–1 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 66% | |
| 2011-02-06 | 4–1 | Real Madrid +3 | Real Madrid 75% | |
| 2010-09-18 | 1–2 | Real Madrid +1 | Real Madrid 51% |