Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-11-22 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-05-14 | 1–1 | Draw | Valencia 45% | |
| 2025-12-01 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 46% | |
| 2025-04-19 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 44% | |
| 2024-12-07 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Valencia 41% | |
| 2024-05-12 | 0–0 | Draw | Valencia 50% | |
| 2023-12-19 | 0–1 | Valencia +1 | Rayo Vallecano 45% | |
| 2023-04-03 | 1–1 | Draw | Valencia 44% | |
| 2022-09-10 | 2–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Rayo Vallecano 42% | |
| 2022-04-11 | 1–1 | Draw | Rayo Vallecano 37% | |
| 2021-11-27 | 1–1 | Draw | Valencia 43% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 2–0 | Rayo Vallecano +2 | Valencia 54% | |
| 2018-11-24 | 3–0 | Valencia +3 | Valencia 62% | |
| 2016-01-17 | 2–2 | Draw | Valencia 61% | |
| 2015-08-22 | 0–0 | Draw | Valencia 44% | |
| 2015-04-30 | 1–1 | Draw | Valencia 50% | |
| 2014-12-13 | 3–0 | Valencia +3 | Valencia 56% | |
| 2014-03-02 | 1–0 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Valencia 45% | |
| 2013-09-28 | 1–0 | Valencia +1 | Valencia 58% | |
| 2013-05-12 | 0–4 | Valencia +4 | Valencia 44% | |
| 2012-12-16 | 0–1 | Rayo Vallecano +1 | Valencia 59% | |
| 2012-04-11 | 4–1 | Valencia +3 | Valencia 58% | |
| 2011-11-26 | 1–2 | Valencia +1 | Valencia 41% |