Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-04-21 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-08-23 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 52% | |
| 2026-05-24 | 5–1 | Villarreal +4 | Atl. Madrid 41% | |
| 2025-09-13 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 59% | |
| 2024-08-19 | 2–2 | Draw | Villarreal 36% | |
| 2024-04-01 | 1–2 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 40% | |
| 2023-11-12 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2023-06-04 | 2–2 | Draw | Villarreal 38% | |
| 2022-08-21 | 0–2 | Villarreal +2 | Atl. Madrid 46% | |
| 2022-01-09 | 2–2 | Draw | Villarreal 40% | |
| 2021-08-29 | 2–2 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 52% | |
| 2021-02-28 | 0–2 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 37% | |
| 2020-10-03 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 56% | |
| 2020-02-23 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 56% | |
| 2019-12-06 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 42% | |
| 2019-02-24 | 2–0 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Atl. Madrid 68% | |
| 2018-10-20 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 49% | |
| 2018-03-18 | 2–1 | Villarreal +1 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2017-10-28 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 62% | |
| 2017-04-25 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Atl. Madrid 66% | |
| 2016-12-12 | 3–0 | Villarreal +3 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2016-02-21 | 0–0 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 61% | |
| 2015-09-26 | 1–0 | Villarreal +1 | Atl. Madrid 45% | |
| 2015-04-29 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 50% | |
| 2014-12-14 | 0–1 | Villarreal +1 | Atl. Madrid 65% | |
| 2014-04-05 | 1–0 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 72% | |
| 2013-11-10 | 1–1 | Draw | Atl. Madrid 54% | |
| 2012-05-13 | 0–1 | Atl. Madrid +1 | Atl. Madrid 47% | |
| 2012-01-15 | 3–0 | Atl. Madrid +3 | Atl. Madrid 55% | |
| 2011-03-05 | 3–1 | Atl. Madrid +2 | Villarreal 36% | |
| 2010-10-24 | 2–0 | Villarreal +2 | Villarreal 45% | |
| 2010-04-17 | 2–1 | Villarreal +1 | Villarreal 42% |